ext_91013 ([identity profile] western-slope.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] kyburg 2007-01-13 05:04 am (UTC)

Interesting notion. But it looks like they're nearly at that point right now.

According to Historycentral.com, out of a current population of 1.284 billion people, 68.4% (878 million) are between the ages of 15 and 64, which might be considered "marriageable age." Of those folks, there are 452,354,428 males and 426,055,713 females. That's a male/female mismatch of more than 26 million. (That mismatch is probably due, as you and the article point out, to Chinese cultural practices which support having boy babies instead of girls.)

'Course, you need to keep in mind the sheer numbers we're talking about and what they really mean. In the U.S., 30 million is about 10% of the total population. In China, the 26 million figure quoted is less than three percent of the marriage age population.

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